YES NO CAPITAL · live preview
What moved overnight
Thu · 14 May 2026 · 13:54 UTC  ·   ▲ 4 up   ▼ 1 down   drawing from 119 live events   ·   click a card to expand
RussiaChinaBrazilCanadaUSAAustraliaIndiaArgentinaKazakhstanDRCGreenlandMexicoSaudiSudanLibyaPeruS. AfricaColombiaMaliMozambiqueTurkeyMyanmarAfghanistanMoroccoIndonesiaSomaliaSwedenFrancePNGJapanNew ZealandPhilippinesCubaWESTERN HEMISPHERE   |   EASTERN HEMISPHERE
🇺🇸ELECTIONS 89%
Rhode Island Governor Election Winner
The Democrats win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026
POLY 0.94 ▲89%
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🇺🇸ELECTIONS 86%
Minnesota Governor Election Winner
The Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026
POLY 0.94 ▲86%
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🇺🇸ELECTIONS 84%
South Dakota Republican Senate Primary Winner
Justin McNeal be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Dakota
MANIFOLD 0.03 ▼6%POLY 0.03 ▼84%
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🇺🇸ELECTIONS 77%
Will Trump Mobile release a phone by...?
The Trump-branded Trump Mobile Phone actually exist before the next Presidential election
MANIFOLD 0.96 ▲77%POLY 0.51 ▲42%
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🇺🇸ELECTIONS 60%
Vermont Governor Election Winner
The Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026
POLY 0.79 ▲60%
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CONFLICTsince 2023-10
ISRAEL – GAZA
Hamas attack of 7 Oct 2023 followed by ongoing IDF operations in Gaza; ripples into Hezbollah / Houthi / Iran lanes.
Duration~1.5 years
Displaced~1.9M in Gaza (~85% of pop)
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CONFLICTsince 2022-02
RUSSIA – UKRAINE
Russian invasion that began Feb 2022; front lines largely static along the Donbas / Zaporizhzhia axis. Drives Brent, gas, grain, defense-stock pricing.
Duration~4 years
Displaced8M refugees · 5M internal
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CONFLICTsince 2023-04
SUDAN
SAF vs RSF civil war since April 2023. Khartoum + Darfur worst-hit. Off most newsfeeds — drives African food-aid and gold-flow markets.
Duration~2 years
Displaced~12M (largest displacement crisis globally)
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CONFLICTsince 2023-11
YEMEN / RED SEA
Houthi missile/drone attacks on Red Sea shipping diverting traffic around the Cape. Bumps WTI, shipping rates, supply-chain timing markets.
Duration of current escalation~1.5 years
Red Sea traffic drop~50% (Lloyd's List)
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CONFLICTsince 2021-02
MYANMAR
Post-coup civil war between junta and PDF + ethnic armed organizations. Junta losing territory in Shan + Rakhine since late 2023.
Duration~5 years (since 2021 coup)
Displaced~3M+
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Regions · last 24h
AMERICAS
EUROPE
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ASIA
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CRYPTO
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MENA
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