Terms of Service

Last updated: April 18, 2026

Parties

These Terms are a binding agreement between you and Yes No Capital LLC ("Company", "we", "our"), a limited liability company registered in the State of Minnesota, operating the Yes No Capital platform at yesnocapital.com. Yes No Capital LLC is the merchant of record for all subscription transactions on this platform.

What "Yes No Capital" Means

The name "Yes No Capital" describes what this platform shows: where capital is allocated in yes/no prediction markets. Prediction markets offer binary contracts — yes or no — and participants put real money behind their forecasts. We aggregate and display that data.

Yes No Capital is not an investment fund, asset manager, broker-dealer, registered investment advisor, or financial institution. We do not hold, manage, or invest anyone's money. We do not execute trades. We are a data aggregation and visualization service.

Not Financial Advice

Everything on this platform — including prediction market probabilities, divergence signals, fundamental data, economic indicators, causal links, context notes, intelligence briefs, and any other content — is provided strictly for informational and educational purposes only.

Nothing on this platform constitutes:

• Financial, investment, or trading advice
• A recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security, contract, or prediction market position
• Legal, tax, or insurance advice
• A solicitation or offer to buy or sell securities

When we show that two platforms disagree on the probability of an event, we are reporting a data observation — not suggesting that either platform is "right" or that an arbitrage opportunity exists. When we display fundamental data alongside prediction market data, we are providing context — not making a forecast or recommendation.

No Guarantees on Data Accuracy

Prediction market data is sourced from third-party platforms (Polymarket, Kalshi, Manifold, and others). Fundamental data comes from government agencies, financial data providers, and public sources. We aggregate and display this data as-is.

We make no guarantees regarding the accuracy, completeness, timeliness, or reliability of any data shown. Markets can be illiquid, manipulated, stale, or incorrect. Data feeds can fail, lag, or return errors. Our matching algorithms may incorrectly pair unrelated events or miss legitimate matches. Probabilities, prices, volumes, and other figures displayed may be delayed, calculated incorrectly, or differ from the values shown on the original source platforms.

You should independently verify any data before relying on it for any purpose. Always check the original source platform for current, authoritative data.

Your Responsibility

By using this platform, you acknowledge that:

• You are solely responsible for your own decisions — financial, business, or otherwise
• You will not rely on this platform as your sole source of information for any decision
• You understand that prediction markets reflect participant opinion, not objective truth
• You will consult qualified professionals (financial advisors, attorneys, accountants) for advice specific to your situation
• Participation in prediction markets may be restricted or illegal in your jurisdiction — it is your responsibility to understand and comply with applicable laws

Pro+ Services

Our Pro+ tier provides weekly deep-dive reports published simultaneously to every Pro+ subscriber, priority divergence alerts, and quarterly track record reviews. These reports are impersonal broadcast publications under the SEC publisher's exclusion recognized in Lowe v. SEC, 472 U.S. 181 (1985) — not custom or bespoke research tailored to any individual subscriber. Every deliverable is distributed on the same schedule, in the same form, to every subscriber at this tier. Pro+ services do not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice, and no subscriber relationship creates a fiduciary duty. We are not registered investment advisors.

Intellectual Property

The Yes No Capital platform, including its matching algorithms, visualization design, and aggregation methodology, is proprietary. You may share individual event cards and embeds with attribution. You may not scrape, reproduce, or redistribute bulk data without written permission.

Limitation of Liability

Yes No Capital LLC, its operators, and its affiliates shall not be liable for any losses, damages, or costs arising from your use of this platform or reliance on any data or content provided. This includes but is not limited to trading losses, missed opportunities, or decisions made based on data shown on this platform.

To the maximum extent permitted by law, Yes No Capital LLC's total aggregate liability to you for any claim arising out of or related to these Terms or the platform shall not exceed the amount you paid to Yes No Capital LLC in the twelve (12) months preceding the claim.

The platform is provided "as is" without warranty of any kind, express or implied.

Changes to These Terms

We may update these terms at any time. Continued use of the platform after changes constitutes acceptance. Material changes will be noted with an updated date at the top of this page.

Contact

Questions about these terms: [email protected]